COVID-19 – Will there be another global lockdown?

Sep 21, 2020

When COVID-19 initially emerged in China in early 2020, no one suspected that it would scatter across the world as it did. The virus has changed the world forever. There have been over 31 million cases, out of which almost a million have passed away.

Will there be another Great Lockdown?

As winter 2020 – 2021 approaches, health experts fear that there will be a surge in infections when the second wave of the disease hits. Late autumn is when the flu season mostly begins as the weather gets colder.

But how alarming the infection rate will be this winter depends on other factors, particularly other bugs. For example, four other coronaviruses cause similar infections and spread actively in the winter. Aside from coronaviruses, there are also other viruses such as influenza, rhinoviruses, etc. that spread significantly in the winter. People’s immune systems are lower due to the cold weather, which tends to make us more susceptible to respiratory viruses.

COVID-19 has changed society: wearing masks and using hand sanitizer has become a norm.

Viruses survive outside the body longer in colder temperatures, with 4 degrees Celsius being the weather most viruses thrive in. Boris Johnson’s assumption that herd immunity might occur by now is also deeply flawed. Currently, only 5% of the UK have been infected with the virus, which means over 90% have no immunity. Surges could easily happen if preventative measures are lifted.

On the other hand, it is evident that society has transformed its behavior since the first mass lockdown. People have become more accustomed to wearing face masks in public, using hand sanitizer, working remotely, and following social distancing practices.

But can the world survive another lockdown?

The first global lockdown, also known as the Great Lockdown, has caused the worst global economic recession since the Great Depression. In February 2020, the stock market collapsed, resulting in the largest decline in recent years. Global markets reported severe contractions in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic shutdown it caused.

Many experts believe that the pandemic was simply an accelerant rather than the only reason for the crash. In 2019, cracks in the economy were already evident. The Chinse-American trade war and Brexit were the main reasons behind the economic slowdown.